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Expert predicts lack of distressed property growth for 2012

Published on 01/09/2011 14:22:33

The UK is unlikely to experience distressed commercial property growth next year, according to a property specialist.

It is unlikely the British commercial property will experience a price growth for sites ripe for commercial development in the coming months, says Kelvin Davidson, property economist at the economic research consultancy Capital Economics.

Mr Davidson has warned the price growth of UK commercial property has grinded to a halt, with prices likely to remain flat for at least the next 12 months.

He said: "There is quite a lot of money floating around and not much property for sale, so I would think that an increase in the number of properties to buy for whatever reason - whether it be foreclosure or whatever - would actually be quite welcome."

Despite Mr Davidson's claims, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has indicated worldwide demand for distressed commercial property actually rose significantly in Q2 2011.

Following a survey conducted by the RICS it was revealed over 80 per cent of countries reported increased levels of interest from commercial property investment funds during Q2 2011.

Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, said: "It is interesting to see agents reporting a dramatic rise in investor appetite for distressed assets, quarter over quarter.

"To some extent, this may be seen as an encouraging development reflecting a measure of confidence in the outlook for the real estate sector despite the softer tone to the macro news flow.

"However, it needs to be borne in mind that the results are very country specific with generally negative numbers coming from those markets where the economic pain is most intense."

 

Image: Salvatore Vuono

There is quite a lot of money floating around and not much property for sale, so I would think that an increase in the number of properties to buy for whatever reason - whether it be foreclosure or whatever - would actually be quite welcome.

Kelvin Davidson, property economist at Capital Economics.

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